Saturday, August 25, 2012

Global Impact: Non-Essential Travel to Iran Should be Deferred

COMMENT: As most of our readers know, there has been extensive international media coverage, both print and broadcast, in recent weeks speculating as to when Israel could initiate military action against Iran to counter Tehran's progress in developing a nuclear military capability.

Although there is no certainty as to when Israel might act preemptively, it is a given that the US government will be drawn into such an effort if not directly, assuredly indirectly.

Additionally, there some analysts who strongly feel that such military action potentially could be initiated before the scheduled national election in the US on November 6, 2012.

Needless to say, any foreigners who happen to be in Iran at the time may well find themselves unable to leave Iran if Israel does initiate military action on Iranian nuclear facilities

As we saw during the 2006 Israel-Hezbollah War in Lebanon (July 12-September 8), when the Iran-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon began rocket attacks on Israel, resulting in the eventual closure of Beirut's Rafic Hariri International Airport, thousands of expats and foreigners were prevented from leaving Lebanon. 

During the short period of the 2006 war, 53 foreigners were killed and 23 were wounded.

Thus, with the majority of foreign diplomatic offices in Iran either completely closed or diminished in their capability to help in the evacuation of foreigners who could be trapped in Iran if Israel were to attack Iran, it is suggested that foreigners defer non-essential travel to Iran until it becomes clearer as to when Israel might justifiably attack Iran to protect its national interests.