Wednesday, February 5, 2014

Spain/Panamá: Update--Talks Between Canal, Spanish Consortium Break Down...Again

According to Reuters, a planned expansion of the Panama Canal, one of the world's most important shipping routes, was in doubt on Wednesday (February 5) after talks between the Canal administrator and a Spanish-led construction consortium fell apart and work came to a screeching halt. 
Continuing talks between the Canal andGroup United for the Canal, a consortium led by Spanish builder Sacyr, said in a statement that the government's canal authority had broken off talks again as to who will pay some US$1.6 billion needed to complete the ambitious project.
The Panama Canal Authority (PCA) head, Jorge Quijano, said the canal had held general talks with other companies about work still pending on the expansion, but was open to talks with the consortium. He said work at the expansion site had stopped.
Quijano told a news conference that the consortium had been "inflexible" and that the project would be completed in 2015 "with or without" it. He said talks had been complicated because another consortium member, Italy's Salini Impregilo, had taken over the lead from Sacyr.
Quijano said the PCA was evaluating its next steps, but a deal was still possible.
COMMENT: Any delay in the project would be a setback for companies worldwide eager to move larger ships through the Panama Canal, including liquefied natural gas (LNG) producers who want to ship exports from the US Gulf coast to Asian markets.
The failure of the talks was the latest setback to a project mired in disputes since the consortium, which also includes a Belgian and Panamanian firm, won a bid to double the capacity of the near 50-mile transoceanic cargo route.
Disagreements over cost overruns had already reached international arbitration and talks between the two sides over how to find the additional cash to finish the project had been extended twice.
The project was originally expected to cost about $5.25 billion, but the overruns could raise it to near $7 billion.
Asked if the relationship with the canal had broken down definitively, Sacyr CEO Manuel Manrique told Spanish radio: "No."
Shares of Sacyr stock had risen as much as 6.8% on Tuesday in anticipation of a deal, but plunged over 8% on Wednesday's (February 5) before recovering some ground. Salini Impregilo's shares were down over 1%. 
GUPC, the Spanish consortium said the suspension of discussions meant the expansion and up to 10,000 local jobs were in jeopardy.
If the partnership between Panama and the builders is abandoned, it would likely mean further delays while Panama seeks financing and a new construction group.
If no agreement is reached soon, the canal authority could tell insurer Zurich North America that it wants to end the contract.
Zurich would then have 14 days to evaluate the request and decide if it will pay a $400 million bond for the completion of the project, go with other subcontractors, or otherwise assist the two groups to arrive at an agreement.
Last month, Panamanian President Ricardo Martinelli said his country had the resources to complete the expansion of the Canal even if talks with GUPC ended.
Disputes over the expansion of the Canal began soon after GUPC won the bid in 2009. At the time, officials and diplomats expressed concerns over the consortium's ability to complete the project since its requested budget was $1 billion lower than that of the nearest competitor.
Over the past months, the two sides had been discussing how to fund the $1.6 billion needed to complete the project through a co-financing deal.
The GUPC said that, in its latest proposal, it offered $800 million in new and existing funds, while asking the Panama Canal to put in $100 million in funds. It also asked the Canal to extend the deadline by which the consortium needs to return $785 million in advance payments made by the Canal in order to free up cash.
The Consortium said the PCA had not paid a pending $50 million invoice that had meant to cover salaries this week for subcontractors and workers.
For Sacyr, which has 48% of the consortium, the work brings in a quarter of its international revenue, helping it offset a sharp economic downturn at home.
Sacyr has provided 476 million euros in cash advances and guarantees to the project. One analyst said this was the worst-case scenario in terms of what losing the project would mean for the builder.