Monday, August 11, 2014

Iraq: Update--PM al-Maliki Refuses to "Go Quietly," Challenge for Obama Administration

According to Reuters, Iraq's president named a new prime minister to end Nuri al-Maliki's eight year rule on Monday (August 11), but the Shi'ite leader refused to go after deploying militias and special forces on the streets, creating a dangerous political showdown in Baghdad.

Washington, which helped install Maliki following its 2003 invasion that toppled Saddam Hussein, congratulated Haidar al-Abadi, a former Maliki lieutenant who was named by President Fouad Masoum to replace him.

That being said, al-Maliki's Dawa Party declared his replacement illegal, and Maliki's son-in-law said he would overturn it in court. Washington delivered a stern warning to Maliki not to "stir the waters" by using force to cling to power.

A Shi'ite Muslim Islamist, Maliki is blamed by his respective allies in Washington and Tehran for driving the alienated Sunni minority into a revolt that threatens to destroy the country. Leaders of Iraq's Sunni and Kurdish communities have demanded al-Maliki go; many fellow Shi'ites have turned against him.

al-Maliki himself said nothing about the decision to replace him, standing in grim-faced silence on Monday next to a member of his Dawa Party, who read out a statement on national television declaring Abadi's nomination illegal.
 
COMMENT: Washington made its support for the new PM clear. The White House said Vice President Joe Biden relayed President Barack Obama's congratulations to Abadi in a phone call.

"The prime minister-designate expressed his intent to form a broad-based, inclusive government capable of countering the threat of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant," the White House said in a statement, using a previous name for the Sunni militant group that now calls itself the Islamic State.

The new political crisis comes just days after Washington launched its first military action in Iraq since pulling its troops out in 2011. US warplanes have bombed Sunni insurgents from the Islamic State (IS), who have marched through northern and western Iraq since June. 

The fighters made new gains against Kurdish forces despite three days of US air strikes, while Baghdad, long braced for the Sunni fighters to attack, was now tensing for possible clashes between al-Maliki and rivals within the Shi'ite majority.

President Masoum asked Abadi to form a government that could win the support of all groups in Parliament elected in April. In remarks broadcast on television, Masoum, a Kurd, urged Abadi to "form a broader-based government" over the next month.

Abadi urged national unity against the "barbaric" IS, which has driven tens of thousands from their homes as it swept aside Baghdad's troops to consolidate a "caliphate" in Iraq and Syria.

"We all have to cooperate to stand against this terrorist campaign launched on Iraq and to stop all terrorist groups," he said in broadcast remarks after meeting Masoum.

As police and elite armed units, many equipped and trained by the US, locked down the capital's streets, US Secretary of State John Kerry aimed a stark warning at al-Maliki against fighting to hold on to power.

"There should be no use of force, no introduction of troops or militias in this moment of democracy for Iraq," Kerry said. "The government formation process is critical in terms of sustaining stability and calm in Iraq and our hope is that al-Maliki will not stir those waters."

"There will be little international support of any kind whatsoever for anything that deviates from the legitimate constitution process that is in place and being worked on now."

Under Iraq's post-Saddam governing system, designed to avert conflict by giving all groups stakeholder status, stake, the speaker of Parliament is a Sunni and the largely ceremonial president a Kurd. Most authority is wielded by the prime minister, a Shi'ite.

al-Maliki's Shi'ite State of Law bloc emerged as the biggest group in Parliament in the April election, but does not have enough seats to rule without support from Sunnis, Kurds and other Shi'ite blocs, nearly all of which demand that al-Maliki "go."

al-Maliki also appears to have alienated his supporters in Iran, the regional Shi'ite power, which has sent military advisers to help organize the battle against the Islamic State. Iraq's most influential Shi'ite cleric, Ali Sistani, all but directed al-Maliki to leave power on Friday (August 8).

Obama says a more inclusive government in Baghdad is a pre-condition for more aggressive US military support against IS. The President has rejected calls in some quarters for a return of US ground troops, apart from several hundred military advisers sent in June.

IS, which sees Shi'ites as heretics who deserve to be killed, has ruthlessly moved through one town after another, using tanks and heavy weapons it seized from Iraqis who have fled in the thousands.

On Monday (August 11), police said the fighters had seized the town of Jalawla, 115 km (70 miles) northeast of Baghdad, after driving out the forces of the autonomous Kurdish regional government.

Washington and its European allies are considering requests for more direct military aid from the Kurds, who have themselves differed with al-Maliki over the division of oil resources and took advantage of the Islamists' advance to expand their territory.

On Sunday (August 10), a government minister said IS militants have killed hundreds of people from the small, Kurdish-speaking Yazidi religious sect, burying some alive and taking women as slaves. No confirmation was available. 

Thousands of Yazidis have taken refuge in the past week on the arid heights of Mount Sinjar, close to the Syrian border. IS considers the Yazidis, who follow an ancient faith derived from Zoroastrianism, to be "devil worshippers."

The bloodshed could increase pressure on Western powers to do more to help those who have fled the IS offensive. They have already dropped supplies and US aircraft have been bombing the militants since Friday.