Sunday, October 5, 2014

Brazil: A Day Before Brazil's Presidential Race, Silva Slips Into 3rd Place

According to The Latin American Tribune, the study gives Rousseff 40.6% of voter preference in Sunday’s election, while Neves comes in at 24% pushing Marina Silva into 3rd place at 21.4%.

Social Democrat Aecio Neves, now in second place, will contest the runoff on October 26 against the nation’s president and reelection hopeful, Dilma Rousseff, according to a new survey released Saturday (October 5).

This is the first poll in more than a month that leaves Silva, of the Brazilian Socialist Party, (PSB) out of an eventual runoff, and who, after beating even Rousseff in the polls at one point, began to lose support as the race headed down to the wire.

COMMENT: In the MDA survey published Monday, voter preference for Rousseff remained stable, while backing for Neves rose 4% as support for Silva dropped 3%. 

In case of a runoff, required if on Sunday none of the candidates wins at least 50% of the vote, Rousseff is set to defeat either Silva or Neves.

In the first possibility, the current president will be reelected with 47.6% against the 37.9% for Silva.

If the runoff is against Neves, Rousseff would win with 46% of the vote, while the Social Democratic candidate would have the support of 40.8% of the electorate.

MDA places the margin of error at plus or minus 2.2% for the survey taken Thursday and Friday from a sample of 2,002 voters nationwide.

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