Monday, October 6, 2014

Brazil: Update--In Latest Polling, Rousseff Remains in Lead with Neves Edging Into 2nd Place

According to The Latin American Tribune, Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff would have garnered about 44% of the vote in Sunday’s presidential balloting, and now would have to face off against Social Democrat Aecio Neves, who secured some 30%, according to an exit poll.

Brazilian President Rousseff won a plurality in Sunday’s presidential balloting garnering about 44% of the vote, but she will have to face off against Social Democrat Aecio Neves, who secured the second-largest number of votes, some 30%, according to an exit poll released after the last precincts had closed.

Bringing up a distant third place in the exit poll was Marina Silva of the Brazilian Socialist Party, who obtained approximately 22% of the vote after having led the pre-election voter intention surveys for several weeks during the campaign, according to the poll conducted by the Ibope institute and commissioned by the Globo television network.

COMMENT: Given that apparently none of the presidential candidates obtained more than 50% of the votes, a runoff election will have to be held on October 26 between Rousseff and Neves.

The exit poll confirmed the trend in recent voter surveys released on Saturday, which showed Rousseff to be the favorite and Neves having pulled ahead of Silva in the race for second place.

Silva, who had obtained the third-most votes in the 2010 presidential election, when she also garnered about 22%, had become the PSB’s candidate after the party’s original standardbearer, Eduardo Campos, died in an August 13 plane crash.

The Ibope survey, which canvassed 64,200 voters after they had cast their ballots, has an error margin of 2%. \

Although Rousseff aspires to a second term, which ultimately would keep the Workers Party in power in Brazil for a total of 16 years, Neves is endeavoring to regin the presidency for the PSDB, which governed Brazil between 1995 and 2002 under Fernando Henrique Cardoso.

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